Within any education category, richer people vote more Republican. In contrast, the pattern of education and voting is nonlinear. High scho...

Andrew Gelman draws attention to a terrific paper by Mark Chaves on the religious congruence fallacy. Religious congruence refers to consi...

black swans

Andrew Gelman revisits his review of Taleb's The Black Swan. And then there are parts of the review that make me really uncomfortable. ...

Granger causality is a standard statistical technique for determining whether one time series is useful in forecasting another. It is import...

My other Carter story comes from a conversation I had a couple years ago with an economist who's about my age, a man who said that one r...

Andrew Gelman on statistical fallacies in baseball reportage.

After being awarded a Rosenwald Fellowship, established by the clothing magnate Julius Rosenwald to aid black scholars, he attended the Ins...

I think some of the confusion that has arisen from Ed Tufte's work is that people read his book and then want to go make cool graphs of ...

Britain Britain Britain

Andrew Gelman has a post in which he links to an old post of mine on Seth Godin. Andrew took me to endorse the position of Seth Godin. ...

Andrew Gelman on Christian Robert on classics of statistics.

Expressing the problem using a population distribution rather than a probability distribution has an additional advantage: it forces us to ...

damn lies and good graphs

maybe they're right that crappy chartjunk graphs are better than crappy non-chartjunk graphs. But I don't think it's appropriate...

Gordon Lish in the House of Bayes

Andrew Gelman gives a statistician's take on the Lish method: In any case, in the grand tradition of reviewing the review, I have some t...

Andrew Gelman on religious affiliation of Supreme Court justices. With graphs.

what an attractor is all about

It appears that the eigenvalue distribution is an attractor. That is, for a broad range of different input models (distributions of the rand...

ahem

Andrew Gelman casts a critical eye on John Lanchester's analysis of UK electoral districts and supposed advantage to Labour of these a...

1989

I firmly believe that a person such as myself who can't make music (aside from drumming, tuneless singing, etc.) can't understand it...

lots and lots of fried ants revisited

Andrew Gelman links to this article by Gretchen Chapman and Jingjing Liu Previous research has demonstrated that Bayesian reasoning perfor...

a supposedly unfun thing

It goes like this: there's something you want to estimate and you have some data. Maybe, to take my favorite recent example, you want to...

Best Disclaimer in the World

Just to be clear, though, I didn't make these maps; I'm just linking to them. Andrew Gelman clarifies a post on some excellent grap...